Analysis: What Silicon Valley Bank collapse means for the U S. financial system

The longer answer begins during in the pandemic, when SVB and many other banks were raking in more deposits than they could lend out to borrowers. Silicon Valley Bank was a favorite lender among tech startups prior to its downfall. Then-SVB executive vice president Rob McMillan and SVB CEO Greg Becker told The Street in 2015 that the bank’s wine business was a key part of building its brand and connecting to Silicon Valley entrepreneurs. That year, SVB’s wine practice “accounted for 6% of the bank’s $14.6 billion gross loan portfolio,” the website reported.

If you have a loan with the bank, you still need to make your payments. “Yes, funding is a headwind for the industry,” they acknowledged, but emphasized that they didn’t believe at the time that there was a liquidity crunch facing the banking sector. By noon Friday, California state and federal banking regulators had seen enough and announced they were taking over SVB’s deposits and putting the bank into receivership.

The money for all of this is, for now, coming from the FDIC’s Deposit Insurance Fund, which has said it will protect all depositors to the institution. While that leaves out shareholders and “certain” unsecured debt holders, it meant that the bank’s customers could mostly resume business on Monday. Beyond tech, this caused some shakiness across the banking industry, especially regional banks, amid concerns that other banks could be in trouble or that contagion could set in. (It’s important to note for consumers here that, really, the money you have in the bank right now is almost definitely fine.) It also had ripple effects in Europe.

Analysis: What Silicon Valley Bank collapse means for the U.S. financial system

SVB isn’t the only financial institution whose investments into government bonds and other assets have fallen dramatically in value. But in recent months, many of Silicon Valley Bank’s clients had been withdrawing money at a time when the tech sector as a whole has been suffering. Having said that, SVB’s collapse does highlight the risk that many banks have in their investment portfolios. If interest rates continue to rise, and the Federal Reserve has indicated that they will, the value of the investment portfolios of banks across the U.S. will continue to go down. That sounds like a lot – and it is – but that’s just 0.91% of all banking assets in the U.S.

This doesn’t just apply to companies that deposited cash with SVB — it’s also a question for companies using other SVB instruments, like revolver loans or credit cards. Startup funding may be a little harder, and scrutiny is different when evaluating risks. If startups can show they are managing finances and have a strong balance sheet, there are venture capital investors that are still available, Arellano said. On March 14, Moody’s Investor Service put six regional banks on review for credit rating downgrades, including Comerica Bank, First Republic Bank, Intrust Financial, UMB Financial, Western Alliance Bancorporation and Zions Corp. The reasons for these ratings include high unrealized losses and large amounts of deposits not covered by FDIC.

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  • Though the problems appear to be isolated at SVB, the run on the bank sparked concerns about the banking sector as a whole.
  • Once a startup is a part of the SVB “ecosystem,” it gains access to a host of events that bring together investors, other founders and people in the startup scene.
  • By the close of business that day, SVB had a negative cash balance of $958 million, according to the filing, and failed to scrounge enough collateral from other sources, the regulator said.
  • When SVB announced their $1.75 billion capital raising on March 8, people became alarmed the bank was short on capital.
  • The Federal Reserve determined that the provisions of the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act weakened protections within the banking system.
  • Notable firms listed as SVB customers include Pinterest, ZipRecruiter and Shopify.

After the collapse, business owners have started to look at business banking a little differently, including using more than one financial institution to spread out cash for protection and diversification. There is also a large demand for venture debt, as this was SVB’s specialty and finding the right funding may be more difficult. The turmoil of bank stocks may make the Federal Reserve more cautious when raising rates.

Is Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse a contagion event?

“They really developed a niche that was the envy of the banking space,” says Jared Shaw, a senior analyst at Wells Fargo. “They are able to provide all the products and services any of these sophisticated technology companies, as well as these sophisticated venture capital and private equity funds, would need.” And its offerings were vast — ranging from standard checking accounts, to VC investment, to loans, to currency risk management. SVB’s collapse is the second-largest bank failure in history, trailing only that of Washington Mutual Inc., and the largest of its kind since the 2008 financial crisis. SVB spooked investors after disclosing this week that it had taken a $1.8 billion hit from a $21 billion fire sale of its bond holdings.

As more and more SVB’s customers asked for some or all of their deposits back, the California bank, short on cash, was forced to sell its bonds for liquidity. It sold a $21 billion bond portfolio, which was a loss-making one for the bank, yielding it an average 1.79 percent—below the current 10-year Treasury yield of about 3.9 percent. The good news is that most banks currently have enough capital to absorb these losses – however large – in part because of efforts taken by the Fed after the 2008 financial crisis to ensure financial firms can weather any storm. For those outside of Silicon Valley and the tech space, Silicon Valley Bank was not a household name. Many of its clients included venture capital firms, startups and wealthy tech workers.

Here’s how the second-biggest bank collapse in U.S. history happened in just 48 hours

That filled the lender’s coffers, and SVB had about $174 billion in deposits. Once a startup is a part of the SVB “ecosystem,” it gains access to a host of events that bring together investors, other founders and people in the startup scene. What was Silicon Valley Bank to the world of startups and venture capital? Last year, the Federal Reserve moved to hike interest rates in an effort to what is the best elliott wave software slow down the rate of inflation. As rates rose, the price of SVB’s bonds—the mortgage-backed securities—fell, and the bank’s bond portfolio lost significant value.

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Often, he said, SVB tied a company’s loan to an executive’s mortgage — and that a default on one would trigger a default on the other.

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That funding, the announcement said, will come from loans from the newly created Bank Term Funding Program. According to experts, money is safe in the banks as long as consumers take some precautions. People should plan accordingly and stay within the FDIC insurance limits and spread out accounts as much as possible, said Frank Arellano, founder and CEO of Revolv3, a subscription billing platform. He also said some banks are offering additional insurance above FDIC, and businesses and consumers should make sure all their deposits are insured. On March 26, 2023, FDIC announced First Citizens Bank will purchase Silicon Valley Bank and assume the majority of its deposits and loans.

A Foreign Exchange Risk Hedger

So if you are, let’s say, a bank specializing in startups, do you know what ZIRP world does to you? Well, my children, according to the most recent annual filing from SVB, bank deposits grew as IPOs, SPACs, VC investment and so on went on at a frenetic pace. A third of Y Combinator companies won’t be able to make payroll in the next 30 days, according to YC CEO Garry Tan. An unexpected mass furlough or layoff is a nightmare for most companies — after all, you can’t make sales if the salesforce isn’t coming into the office.

  • Silicon Valley Bank invested in a number of VCs over the years, including Accel Partners, Kleiner Perkins, Sequoia Capital, and Greylock.
  • But that announcement spooked the bank’s clients, who got worried about SVB’s viability, and then proceeded to withdraw even more money from the bank — a textbook definition of a bank run.
  • For depositors with $250,000 or less in cash at SVB, the FDIC said that customers will have access to all of their money when the bank reopens.
  • Last year, the Federal Reserve moved to hike interest rates in an effort to slow down the rate of inflation.
  • As of March 10, Silicon Valley Bank reported nearly $167 billion in total assets and $199 billion in deposits.
  • One year later, the SVB collapse still stands out as one of the biggest bank failures in American history.

Coinbase’s shares closed at a price of $328.28 the first day it was listed. It turns out Becker also sold $3.6 million of shares in Silicon Valley Bank’s parent company on February 27th. This was a pre-arranged sale — he filed the paperwork on January 26th — but it does seem like curious timing! Becker was presumably aware of his own balance sheet, and a director of a regional Fed bank. He had to know the Fed was going to keep raising interest rates — I mean, if I knew it, he’d better have known it — and he had to know that would be bad news for Silicon Valley Bank. Now, recall, another bank called Silvergate had just collapsed (for crypto reasons).

Are the deposits now safe?

The larger banks are well-hedged and diversified, but regional banks may feel the tightening of the market if they are tied to industries that tend to be more cash strapped like tech startups. The hard-hit tech sector first made news in late 2022 and early 2023 with mass layoffs. This collapse is another setback for the tech industry and is the biggest bank failure since Washington Mutual in 2008. The episode is the latest fallout from the Federal Reserve’s actions to stem inflation with its most aggressive rate hiking campaign in four decades.

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